Uwe Wagner Head of Research and Development at Schaeffler talks about predictions and prospects on the road toward modern mobility Interview Stefan Pajung Carsten Paulun THE RIGHT SOLUTION AT THE RIGHT TIME The name of the rubric in which this interview ap pears is outlook What are your thoughts on the pros pects for modern mobility in 2030 In order to be able to shed some light on the prospects for future mobility it s necessary to first look at the re quirements and possibilities that will exist in the future In 2030 the climate urbanization as well as the grow ing demand for transportation of goods into the cities for example will continue to be key topics In this con text it s also significant to note that we continue to see a high demand for personal mobility The most import ant elements of mastering these challenges are opti mized or new propulsion technologies automation and new urban development concepts in combination with enhanced interurban connections This opens up pros pects for solutions that will be heavily defined by elec trified powertrains and autonomous vehicles that will be offered as shared mobility services These movers will partly complement conventional vehicles and partly re place them Do you have any concrete predictions concerning future mobility for us For propulsion technology we re seeing a very strong move toward electric mobility in which we include both hybridization and fully electric vehicles Our 30 40 30 scenario for the year 2030 in other words a split of 30 fully electric vehicles 40 hybrids and 30 ICE vehi cles still met with disbelief just a few years ago Today it s becoming increasingly apparent that this is a re alistic scenario some have even begun to trend more aggressively toward electrified scenarios However we still feel that on a global scale 30 40 30 strikes a good balance between the challenges of implement ing this scenario and its effectiveness concerning CO2 At least in our estimates we re able to show that with this ratio we ll be able to achieve the 2050 climate goals for passenger cars and light trucks under certain overall conditions The second prediction heads in the direction of automation Compared to electrification automation will take a little longer in our view but automation levels 4 and 5 will come Achieving this will require true drive by wire technologies in other words solutions that will no longer involve a mechanical connection between the steering wheel and the wheels This is where we see ma jor market opportunities for the Space Drive technolo gy we offer and continue to develop with our Schaeffler Paravan Technologie GmbH Co KG joint venture Let s take a look around the globe Schaeffler has locations in 50 countries Do you see a country anywhere that serves as a viable role model for modern mobility I don t see a real role model because the various econom ic environmental conflicts of interest in the regions are still simply too big and have not been resolved yet On the one hand the necessary reduction of CO2 emissions has by now been largely accepted see the Paris Agreement but on the other the massive changes that are necessary to achieve these goals have simply not been accepted yet including the social consequences What China for instance does really well is creating incentives for elec tric mobility including the establishment of the required 66 67

Vorschau Schaeffler tomorrow 02-2019 EN Seite 66
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